Tell City
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #112
Brown County Semi-State Rank #21
Crawford County Regional Rank #6
Jasper Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Southridge Invitational Titan Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional
Date 8/25 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/26 10/3 10/10
Team Rating 866 729 785 875 808 906 916 978
Team Adjusted Rating 729 785 875 808 906 916 978
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Southridge Invitational Titan Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional
234  Kaden Chestnut 12 17:04 16:42 16:19 16:52 17:01 17:13 17:16 17:34
556  Brayden Lain 10 17:45 17:27 17:32 17:29 17:47 18:03 17:48 17:52
709  Alec Kaufman 11 18:00 17:29 17:41 17:51 17:58 17:50 18:26 18:40
903  Lewis Kaufman 11 18:17 17:45 18:15 18:11 17:39 19:00 18:21 18:35
Lachlan Russell 9 19:48 19:59 19:55 20:41 19:45 19:19
Devin Plaza 11 20:02 19:44 20:55 20:37 21:51 20:00 19:41 19:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.6 165 0.4 1.7 9.0 41.1 30.5 12.1 4.3 1.0
Sectionals 100% 2.5 92 58.4 32.5 8.4 0.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Chestnut 1.2% 118.0 1.2% 1.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Chestnut 99.4% 52.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 99.4% 99.4%
Brayden Lain 19.5% 92.9 19.5% 19.5%
Alec Kaufman 0.5% 102.3 0.6% 0.6%
Lewis Kaufman 0.0% 128.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Chestnut 100% 16.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 3.2 5.0 5.7 8.1 7.7 8.9 9.7 9.3 9.6 10.6 9.5 4.4 3.1 1.7 0.7 100.0%
Brayden Lain 100% 29.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.9 2.5 5.4 6.2 100.0%
Alec Kaufman 100% 35.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Lewis Kaufman 100% 41.9 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Chestnut 7.3 0.1 0.3 1.5 7.5 26.1 56.5 6.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
Brayden Lain 11.5 0.1 7.0 11.4 18.8 23.2 24.7 8.9 3.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
Alec Kaufman 14.2 0.2 0.6 1.8 5.4 13.0 25.2 22.1 12.9 9.4 5.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Lewis Kaufman 17.7 0.2 0.6 1.7 7.6 12.1 14.7 18.1 15.2 10.6 6.0 5.7 2.8 2.2 1.5